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AMBIENTUM BIOETHICA BIOLOGIA CHEMIA DIGITALIA DRAMATICA EDUCATIO ARTIS GYMNAST. ENGINEERING EPHEMERIDES EUROPAEA GEOGRAPHIA GEOLOGIA HISTORIA HISTORIA ARTIUM INFORMATICA IURISPRUDENTIA MATHEMATICA MUSICA NEGOTIA OECONOMICA PHILOLOGIA PHILOSOPHIA PHYSICA POLITICA PSYCHOLOGIA-PAEDAGOGIA SOCIOLOGIA THEOLOGIA CATHOLICA THEOLOGIA CATHOLICA LATIN THEOLOGIA GR.-CATH. VARAD THEOLOGIA ORTHODOXA THEOLOGIA REF. TRANSYLVAN
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STUDIA OECONOMICA - Ediţia nr.3 din 2020 | |||||||
Articol: |
INVESTIGATING EXTERNAL DEBT AND EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS IN NIGERIA: ANY DIFFERENCE WITH ARDL MODEL?. Autori: TIMOTHY AYOMITUNDE ADEREMI, LAWRENCE OLUSEGUN FAGBOLA, GBENRO MATTHEW SOKUNBI, CHIDINMA EDITH EBERE. |
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Rezumat: DOI: 10.2478/subboec-2020-0015 Published Online: 2020-12-28 Published Print: 2020-12-30 pp. 53-64 VIEW PDF FULL PDF ABSTRACT: One of the contending issues in Nigeria in the recent time is external debt and exchange rate fluctuations. In view of the above, this study examined the relationship between external debt and exchange rate fluctuations in Nigeria over the period of 1981 to 2018. Consequently, the study employed Autoregressive Distribution Lag Model to address the objective of the study. The major findings that originated in this paper are as follows: external debt, debt service payment and foreign reserve have a significant positive impact on exchange rate fluctuations in the short run in Nigeria. Furthermore, based on these findings, recommendations are made for the policy makers that external debt as a means of financing budget deficit should be minimized if not totally discouraged in Nigeria because its servicing in particular and repayment put pressure on foreign exchange market in the short run and thereby leads to exchange rate fluctuations in terms of depreciation of naira in the country. Also, country’s foreign reserve should be strengthened through the implementation of aggressive export promotion policy in Nigeria. Keywords: Exchange Rate, Fluctuations, External Debt, ARDL, Nigeria. JEL classification: F3, F31 |
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