AMBIENTUM BIOETHICA BIOLOGIA CHEMIA DIGITALIA DRAMATICA EDUCATIO ARTIS GYMNAST. ENGINEERING EPHEMERIDES EUROPAEA GEOGRAPHIA GEOLOGIA HISTORIA HISTORIA ARTIUM INFORMATICA IURISPRUDENTIA MATHEMATICA MUSICA NEGOTIA OECONOMICA PHILOLOGIA PHILOSOPHIA PHYSICA POLITICA PSYCHOLOGIA-PAEDAGOGIA SOCIOLOGIA THEOLOGIA CATHOLICA THEOLOGIA CATHOLICA LATIN THEOLOGIA GR.-CATH. VARAD THEOLOGIA ORTHODOXA THEOLOGIA REF. TRANSYLVAN
Rezumat articol ediţie STUDIA UNIVERSITATIS BABEŞ-BOLYAI
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Autori: LĂCRĂMIOARA-MIHAELA MAGHIAR, ILIE-ADRIAN STOICA.
Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to obtain distributional knowledge in the context of incomplete biogeographic data sets. In this study we modeled the potential climatic niche of edelweiss in the Romanian Carpathians and the Alps for present and future environmental conditions. The prime objective of the study was to identify the possible impact of climate change over the distribution of this species with focus on the Carpathians. Ensemble models were fitted using the BIOMOD modeling tool in R software, for current conditions and two possible future scenarios (RCP pathways 6 and 8.5 for the year 2050). The results show that climate suitability is expected to decrease by 2050 in most of the locations considered in the study. These results outline the species sensitivity to climate warming, in agreement with previous studies.
Keywords: climate change, edelweiss, species distribution model (SDM).
